News

The 20th Hong Kong Forum

Join the Hong Kong Forum on 3 and 4 December 2019.

  • Exclusive annual flagship event of the Federation of Hong Kong Business Associations Worldwide
  • A global network with over 13,000 members from the 43 Hong Kong business associations in 32 countries and economies
  • To keep members abreast of the latest market intelligence
  • To network with fellow associates from around the world!

2018 HONG KONG FORUM HIGHLIGHTS

360 participants from 28 countries and economies.

A video highlight of the last Forum here

The Speakers’ videos are available here

Photos taken at the last Forum here

More information about the 20th Forum can be found here

SAVE THE DATE : 3-4 December 2019

__________________________________________________

 

New in 2019:

Young Executive Programme

“Embracing Innovations and Technologies: A game-changing philosophy”

4 December 2019 (Wednesday), N106-108, HKCEC


“People find change uncomfortable, and many aren’t willing to change until it’s too late. For entrepreneurs, innovators, and all-around game-changers, though, successful disruption is the ultimate goal. If you want to disrupt your industry or the competition, however, you will likely have to disrupt your own business first.” – Robert Glazer

Young innovators will share their ideas and insights on how businesses could embrace innovations and technologies, and stay competitive in the digital era. Get to know how young minds and talents are creating new business models, improving operational efficiency, and fostering more business opportunities.

Confirmed Speakers:

  1. Andy Lam, Founder and CEO, A&A Limited
  2. Fiona Lau, Co-founder and COO, Starling Labs Limited – SHOPLINE

Other speakers to be confirmed.

Rundown:

10:00am – 10:05am Programme starts and guests to be seated
10:05am – 11:05am Panel Discussion
11:05am – 11:15am Q&A session
11:15am – 12:15pm Networking Session
12:15pm Programme Ends

Special offer to young executives (under 35):

First time attendees of the Hong Kong Forum pay HK$ 500

Repeat visitors of the Hong Kong Forum pay HK$ 998

deadline for registration is: 18 October.

Dongzhi Event 2019

Learn More about the Current Situation in Hong Kong

Join the annual Dongzhi event of the Netherlands Hong Kong Business Association at Kasteel de Wittenburg in Wassenaar.

Attend this Mid Winter networking reception and meet fellow members and other persons interested in doing business in, with and via Hong Kong.

Special guest: Mrs Annemieke Ruigrok, Consul General of the Kingdom of the Netherlands in the Hong Kong and Macau Special Administrative Regions.

During the event  Mrs Ruigrok will share her views about the current situation and developments in Hong Kong.

She will also present the Hong Kong Shooting Star Award 2019  to a Dutch-linked Start-up that is breaking ground in the Hong Kong market on behalf of the Dutch Chamber of Commerce in HK

Programme (tbc)

16:30 hrs   Registration and welcome drinks

17:00 hrs   Opening speech by Mr. Hans Poulis, Chairman of the NHKBA

17:10 hrs   Remarks by Ms. Fiona Chau, Deputy Representative of the Hong Kong Economic and Trade Office, Brussels

17:20 hrs   Presentation by Mr. William Chui, Director Europe of the Hong Kong Trade Development Council

17:30 hrs   Presentation by Mr. Bart Jan Koopman, Director Evo-Fenedex: “Development of Dutch exports to China / Hong Kong”

17:45 hrs   Speech by Ms. Annemieke Ruigrok, Consul General of the Netherlands in Hong Kong

18:10 hrs   Presentation of the “Hong Kong Shooting Star Award” to representative of a Dutch company in Hong Kong.

18:15 hrs  Acceptance speech of winner “Hong Kong Shooting Star Award”.

18:30 hrs  Q&A

18:40 hrs  Networking Reception

20:00 hrs  End of event

With special speakers and guests, the Dongzhi Event will be one of the highlights of the year.

We are expecting between 75 and 100 entrepreneurs, interested in the opportunities and chances Hong Kong has to offer, to join the event.

Please Note:

Chatham House Rules will apply during this event. This means that participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant, may be revealed,

When you register, you will be asked to acknowledge you have read this note when you register.

Members can participate for free

For non members, the participation fee is € 25 per person (ex VAT).

This event is supported by:

         

Hong Kong Situation Update by Teneo, 12 November

Overview – Tuesday, 12 November:

  • Tear gas fired again in Central, with incidents breaking out across HK
    · Chief Executive Carrie Lam calls protestors “enemies of the people”
    · Commentary on HK by US government, politicians and ex-officials continues

For issues management support or advice, contact Damien.Ryan@Teneo.com,+852-6302-6922
For suggested additions to the daily distribution list, email Marie.Phillips@Teneo.com

HK Protests & Related Developments

Tear gas was again fired in Central today (link). Police also entered the Chinese University of HK campus after a stand-off with protestors (link). Significant travel disruptions continue across the transport network. (link)

State media in China today said that a return to peace is a prerequisite for the District Council elections to take place. (link)

At a press conference this morning, Chief Executive Carrie Lam said the government did not want to postpone November’s District Council elections. Yesterday evening, she commented that the general strike is destructive and suggested radical protestors are “enemies of the people”. (link – Chinese)

HK Police are investigating the incident in which a man was set on fire yesterday as attempted murder. (link)

An annual K-pop festival has cancelled its HK event this year due to protests, Reuters reports (link). The city has hosted the Mnet Asian Music Awards (MAMA) since 2012.

Regional & Global Political Affairs

The US State Department issued a statement on HK, which “repeats President Trump’s call for a humane resolution to the protests” and noted the city’s autonomy and protection of civil liberties are “key to preserving its special status under U.S. law”. (Link)

Senators Rubio, Hawley and Scott have all also commented on the escalation in protests among other US politicians.

Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice suggested China’s treatment of the NBA recently should constitute a “violation of American sovereignty” when speaking with media at an event in UAE. (link)

Business & Industry Developments

Inland Revenue Department statistics showed a significant increase in Buyer’s Stamp Duty in October from recent months. Buyer’s Stamp Duty is applied to purchases of property in HK by non-permanent residents. (link)

DBS Bank reported a 14% year-on-year increase in profitability from its HK business (link). Standard Chartered CEO Bill Withers also said that HK remains an attractive place to do business. (link)

Investors at a Reuters summit highlighted their concerns over the market impact of protests in HK. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

The Straits Times: East Asia Watch: Beijing and Hong Kong – a political tug-of-war (subscription)
The district council elections in Hong Kong later this month are in danger of being scuttled as unrest in the city escalates…even before this, the pro-establishment camp had questioned whether the elections would be fair…This is as the pro-establishment camp, which currently holds sway over the district councils, is seen to be headed for defeat, leading to speculation that it might be seeking postponement or cancellation of the polls to avoid a drubbing…Voter interest is at an all-time high and, for the first time, all seats are being contested. In some ways, the elections can be viewed as a bellwether of Hong Kongers’ views on Beijing and democracy.

The New York Times: Behind Hong Kong’s Protesters, an Army of Volunteer Pastors, Doctors and Artists
Hong Kong’s protests have been notable for their longevity, and for the huge throngs willing to defy the authorities…Behind the scenes, this largely leaderless movement has been sustained by a vast network of ordinary people who hand out bottled water and red bean soup at marches, drive home stranded protesters late at night and donate the gas masks that fortify demonstrators during their pitched battles with police. Graphic artists create the eye-catching protest posters across the city. Psychologists provide free counselling to the emotionally distressed. And emergency room doctors, working in clandestine clinics, set shattered bones.

EJInsight: Five things govt can do to restore hope among the youth
Hong Kong’s young people…who have been at the forefront of the street demonstrations are engulfed in feelings of anxiety, anger and frustration…When violence becomes the new norm…the only consequence is that our core values…will get…distorted to such an extent that the youth may no longer distinguish between right and wrong… In my opinion, there are five urgent tasks lying before the administration in this regard…[1] the chief executive must overhaul her governing team and reformulate her governance strategies…[2] enhance civic education in our existing school curriculum…[3] schools in the city must bear the responsibility of upholding professionalism among teachers and maintaining order on the campuses…[4] the government must…listen to the views of the young people …and incorporate their opinions as well as suggestions into the policymaking process…[and 5] address the issue of blocked social mobility.

Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.

Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day · Hong Kong · Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Wednesday,
13 November
Daybreak Movement · Hong Kong · Protestors to block traffic on roads and MTR stations.
· Anticipated lunchtime march in Central and possibly other business areas
Thursday,
21 November
7:00pm
Never Forget 7.21 Sit-In · Yuen Long MTR Station
· YOHO Mall
· To remind the public to seek the truth of the 7.21 Yuen Long Attack

Potential Additional Protest Events

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike · Students · Rallies and strikes at schools
Monday,
11 November
08:00-21:00;
12 November
08:00-21:00;
13 November
07:00-21:00
40-hour Prayer Meeting · Edinburgh Place, Central · Organized by Rev. LAU Siu Hong Timothy, Rev. CHOW Wing Fu, and Rev. Paul CHAM
Every day in November Salute to Police Month · Hong Kong · Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
· Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers. Ask the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer

Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Thursday,
31 October
Secretary for Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 15 November 2019 at 10:30 am Link to the injunction order
Friday,
25 October
Department of Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 8 November 2019 at 10:30am Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – November

Location Updated Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current · Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
· Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
· Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
12 November
· Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
· Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
· Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated:
11 November

Still current

· Exercise a high degree of caution.
· Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
· ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated:
9 November

Still current

· While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
· Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
· The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
· Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
· For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated:
8 November
· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated:
8 November

Still current

· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
15 October

Still current

· Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
· Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated:
7 October
· Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
· While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
· The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
· U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated:
2 October

Still current

· High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
· Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
Consulate General of India Updated:
13 August
· Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
· Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date Event & Location Relevant Parties Potential Developments
Tuesday,
Weekly
HK Executive Council Meeting · Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials · Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
· Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
Sunday,
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting · Chinese President Xi
· US President Trump
· Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,
24 November
HK District Council Elections · Local political parties and groups · Pending announcement of the nomination period
· Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
· Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January
Taiwan General Election · Presidential and local elections · HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy

****

Taylor Brown
Senior Associate

Teneo
13/F, Wyndham Place,
40-44 Wyndham Street
Central,
Hong Kong
O:
+852 3655 0521
M:
+852 5244 9875

Hong Kong Situation Update by Teneo, 1 November

Overview – Friday, 1 November:

  • Communist Party reportedly agrees to improve process to appoint or remove the Chief Executive
    · High Court grants temporary injunction against online incitement of violence
    · Further rallies and protests planned for the weekend, despite police objections

For issues management support or advice, contact Damien.Ryan@Teneo.com,+852 6302-6922

For suggested additions to the daily distribution list, email Marie.Phillips@Teneo.com

HK Protests & Related Developments

A Chinese government spokesperson today stated that the Communist Party’s 4th plenum agreed to “improve” the system by which the HK Chief Executive and other senior officials are appointed or removed. The spokesperson also said that patriotic education would be strengthened in HK. (link – Chinese & link)

The official concluding statement of the 4th plenum referenced the need to safeguard the stability of Hong Kong and Macau through a sound legal system and enforcement mechanism. (link – Chinese)

The HK High Court granted the government a temporary injunction against online dissemination of information likely to cause violence or property damage, naming the internet forum used by protestors, ‘LIHKG’, and the messaging app Telegram (link). The High Court rejected TVB’s application for an interim injunction against harassment of its employees and vandalism of its properties. (link)

The police maintained their official objection to a planned rally in Victoria Park this Saturday (link & link – Chinese). A group of District Council candidates have committed to organising another rally at the same location as part of their election campaign on the same day (link – Chinese). There will also be approved rallies at Edinburgh Square, Charter Garden and Tsim Sha Tsui on Saturday (link – Chinese).

A survey by the HK Public Opinion Research Institute asked respondents whether they supported using the HK Human Rights and Democracy Act, which remains draft legislation in the US Congress, to sanction the government official or officials responsible for disqualifying Joshua Wong. A total of 53.5% supported the proposition, with 29.8% against and 11.7% unsure. (link)

Regional & Global Political Affairs

Singapore’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has advised Singaporeans to defer non-essential travel to HK due to “increasingly unpredictable and violent protests.” (link)

The UK government published its six-monthly report on the implementation of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, covering January to June 2019. The report references the ongoing protests and calls for dialogue between all parties (link). The HK government issued a statement highlighting its commitment to the one country, two systems principle and noting that foreign governments should not interfere in the internal affairs of HK. (link)

Three US Senators have introduced the Hong Kong Be Water Act to the US legislative process. Among other provisions, the draft legislation aims to “combat Beijing’s steady erosion of Hongkongers’ basic liberties” through sanctions against HK and Chinese government officials. (link)

Business & Industry Developments

Chief Executive Carrie Lam said the government is looking at special measures to support businesses affected by the protests who are struggling to get insurance coverage. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

Reuters: Weapons of mass control, tactics of mass resistance
While the number of protests has dropped in recent weeks, the violence has intensified. Reuters scrutinized hundreds of images of the protests, as well as dozens of police reports and video footage, and combined this research with reporting on the ground to document the weapons used by the police and protesters, and how the violence has escalated from day to day.

The Atlantic: Meet the Spiritual Leader of the Hong Kong Protests
It is [Edward] Leung’s 2016 election slogan, “Liberate Hong Kong, revolution of our times,” that rings out today, one of the several chants that are now mantras for those who have taken to the streets. The phrase (or similar translations of it) is printed on flags and banners and spray-painted on walls. Detained protesters have looked into TV cameras and mouthed the words as they are taken away by the police. A video game that pits protesters against police uses the slogan as a title. Leung’s supporters, some of whom speak about him in hagiographic terms, say he foresaw the direction that Hong Kong would take as Beijing sought to wield greater influence here.

Fox Business: Is Trump helping or hurting Hong Kong protesters? (video)
FOX Business’ David Asman, Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL), FoxNews.com columnist Liz Peek, River Twice Capital president Zachary Karabell and Capitalist Pig founder Jonathan Hoenig discuss the situation in Hong Kong.

Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.

Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day · Hong Kong · Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Saturday,
2 November
3:00pm
“112 Emergency Call for HK Autonomy” Rally · Central lawn, Victoria Park, Causeway Bay
· Chater Garden, Central
· Edinburgh Place, Central
· Over nine cities around the world are said to support the campaign
· Gathering at the Victoria Park at 3pm and then moving to Central
· Making paper crane origami at Chater Garden at 5pm
· Rally for the Human Rights and Democracy Act at Edinburgh Place at 5pm
Saturday,
9 November
7:30-9:30pm
30th Anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall · Edinburgh Place, Central · Letter of No Objection pending approval
Thursday,
21 November
7:00pm
Never Forget 7.21 Sit-In · Yuen Long MTR Station
· YOHO Mall
· To remind the public to seek the truth of the 7.21 Yuen Long Attack

Potential Additional Protest Events

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike · Students · Rallies and strikes at schools
Tuesday,
5 November
Face Mask Day · Hong Kong · In response to the anti-mask law being in force for a month
Every day in November Salute to Police Month · Hong Kong · Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
· Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers
· Asking the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer

Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Thursday,
31 October
Secretary for Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 15 November 2019 at 10:30 am Link to the injunction order
Friday,
25 October
Department of Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 8 November 2019 at 10:30am Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – November

Location Updated Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current · Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
· Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
· Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated:
1 November

Still current

· While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
· Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
· The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
· Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
· For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated:
1 November

Still current

· Exercise a high degree of caution.
· Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
· ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
31 October

Still current

· Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
· Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
· Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated:
30 October
· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated:
29 October

Still current

· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
15 October

Still current

· Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
· Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated:
7 October
· Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
· While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
· The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
· U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated:
2 October

Still current

· High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
· Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
Consulate General of India Updated:
13 August
· Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
· Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date Event & Location Relevant Parties Potential Developments
Tuesday,
Weekly
HK Executive Council Meeting · Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials · Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
· Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
Sunday,
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting · Chinese President Xi
· US President Trump
· Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,
24 November
HK District Council Elections · Local political parties and groups · Pending announcement of the nomination period
· Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
· Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January
Taiwan General Election · Presidential and local elections · HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy

 

Hong Kong Situation Update by Teneo, 31 October 2019

Overview – Thursday, 31 October:

  • Government Q3 GDP estimates show a decrease of 2.9% from a year earlier
    · Protest march planned for this evening ending in Central, Ocean Park cancels its Halloween Fest
    · HK High Court holding hearings on the government’s mask ban

For issues management support or advice, contact Damien.Ryan@Teneo.com,+852 6302-6922

For suggested additions to the daily distribution list, email Marie.Phillips@Teneo.com

HK Protests & Related Developments

The government released its advance estimates for Q3 GDP, which showed a 2.9% decrease in real terms from a year earlier. The decline of GDP was attributed to the weak performance in both domestic and external demand. On an adjusted-basis, GDP is estimated to have decreased by 3.2% in real terms when compared to the previous quarter. (link)

A protest march is planned tonight starting from Causeway Bay and finishing in Lan Kwai Fong in Central. Protestors reportedly plan to mix with Halloween partygoers in Lan Kwai Fong. (link & link – Chinese)

Ocean Park cancelled its Halloween Fest, previously scheduled to take place this evening (link). Music festival Clockenflap yesterday confirmed it would take place in late November (link). The HK Tourism Board also confirmed its Great November Feast would still happen. (link)

The High Court will today hold two hearings on the government’s anti-mask law. The first challenge questions the constitutionality of the ban. The second, lodged by pro-democracy campaigners, aims to challenge the emergency law used by Carrie Lam. (link)

Polytechnic University students staged a protest yesterday against the institution’s President, who refused to shake hands with students who wore masks at a graduation ceremony (link). HKU students issued a deadline of 19:00 today for Vice-Chancellor Zhang Xiang to hold a dialogue session with them, or they would escalate actions targeting his office. (link)

Following a number of police raids yesterday evening in Tuen Mun, reports state a total of 73 people were arrested. (link)

Regional & Global Political Affairs

The HK & Macao Office of the State Council said the HK government’s decision to ban Joshua Wong from the District Council elections was based on factual evidence and a strong legal basis. The Office agreed with, and supported, the decision. (link – Chinese)

Business & Industry Developments

The potential sale of the Taiwan-headquartered Fubon Bank has reportedly been delayed due to the HK protests. (link)

According to Oscar Munoz, CEO of United Airlines, demand for the airline’s flights to HK is back up to the levels they were at before the protests started. (link)

HSBC and Standard Chartered both reported solid financial performance for their HK business segments (link and link). K.C. Chan, HK’s former Financial Services and Treasury Secretary, said in an interview it would take “huge structural change” for HK to lose its position as a financial centre. That said, local banks are facing more challenging conditions. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

Channel News Asia: Has the use of violence in HK backfired?
Since the Hong Kong government invoked an emergency law and banned face masks in early October, violence has risen to unprecedented levels…Hong Kong’s economy has also experienced a slump as it enters a recession…The government should have anticipated that the anti-mask law could be perceived as hard-handed and would generate a backlash…But the protesters must also ask themselves: Is this increased use of violence by radical protesters going to help the movement?…[Academic research] shows that non-violent resistance is more than twice as effective as violent tactics in attaining stated goals.

Reuters: Impact of protests in a working-class neighbourhood
Sparked by anger against a controversial extradition bill, protests spread through many of Hong Kong’s 18 districts, putting the city’s freedom-loving populace on a collision course with the local government, and China’s Communist Party leaders behind it. The violence has also come to the concrete towers of Wong Tai Sin, home to tens of thousands of working-class families whose struggles are woven into the fabric and lore of Hong Kong’s global rise. And with the unrest has come a test of what Hong Kongers call “the Lion Rock spirit” – this city’s sense of community and grit in the face of hardship.

SCMP: Replacing Carrie Lam with Beijing puppet
Hong Kong is like a puppet show morphing into a Greek tragedy. It is a cruel fact that most Hongkongers consider [HK Chief Executive Carrie] Lam a puppet doing Beijing’s bidding instead of accurately reflecting the people’s views to her bosses. Since the crisis erupted over her now-dead extradition bill, everything she has done proves rather than disproves that fact. She has not demonstrated in any way that she is on the side of the people or dares to stand up to her bosses. We are at a stage where replacing Lam is pointless. Anyone Beijing trusts to succeed Lam will be seen by Hongkongers as just another puppet.

Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.

Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day · Hong Kong · Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Thursday,
31 October
7:00-11:00pm
Never forget 31 August, give us the truth – Sit-in · Prince Edward Station · To commemorate those injured during the 831 incident
· To urge the government to investigate police’s use of violence
Thursday,
31 October
7:30-10:00pm
Halloween Make-up Masquerade Party · Victoria Park to Lan Kwai Fong, Central · Dress up and wear make-up to party along Victoria Park and Lan Kwai Fong
Friday,
1 November
12:30pm
Lunch Time Flash Mob Demonstration · 12:30pm at Chater Garden, Central
· 12.45pm at InPARK, Kwun Tong
· One month anniversary of 10.1, when a student was shot by police’s live round
· To protest the government’s decision to ban Joshua Wong from District Council elections
Saturday,
2 November
3:00pm
“112 Emergency Call for HK Autonomy” Rally · Central lawn, Victoria Park, Causeway Bay · Letter of No Objection pending approval
· Over nine cities around the world are said to support the campaign
Saturday,
9 November
7:30-9:30pm
30th Anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall · Edinburgh Place, Central · Letter of No Objection pending approval
Thursday,
21 November
7:00pm
Never Forget 7.21 Sit-In · Yuen Long MTR Station
· YOHO Mall
· To remind the public to seek the truth of the 7.21 Yuen Long Attack

Potential Additional Protest Events

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike · Students · Rallies and strikes at schools
Tuesday,
5 November
Face Mask Day · Hong Kong · In response to the anti-mask law being in force for a month
Every day in November Salute to Police Month · Hong Kong · Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
· Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers
· Asking the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer

Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Friday,
25 October
Department of Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 8 November 2019 at 10:30am. Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – October

Location Updated Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current · Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
· Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
· Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated:
31 October

Still current

· While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
· Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
· The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
· Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
· For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
31 October

Still current

· Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
· Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
· Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated:
30 October
· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated:
30 October

Still current

· Exercise a high degree of caution.
· Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
· ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated:
29 October

Still current

· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
15 October

Still current

· Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
· Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated:
7 October
· Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
· While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
· The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
· U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated:
2 October

Still current

· High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
· Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
Consulate General of India Updated:
13 August
· Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
· Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date Event & Location Relevant Parties Potential Developments
Tuesday,
Weekly
HK Executive Council Meeting · Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials · Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
· Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
Monday – Thursday
28 – 31 October
The fourth plenary session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China · The Communist Party of China · Examining how to uphold and improve the system of socialism with Chinese characteristics and advance the modernization of China’s system and capacity for governance
Thursday,
31 October
Joint Business Community Luncheon with Chief Executive Lam · Chief Executive Lam
Sunday,
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting · Chinese President Xi
· US President Trump
· Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,
24 November
HK District Council Elections · Local political parties and groups · Pending announcement of the nomination period
· Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
· Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January
Taiwan General Election · Presidential and local elections · HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy

Taylor Brown
Senior Associate

Teneo
13/F, Wyndham Place,
40-44 Wyndham Street
Central,
Hong Kong
O:
+852 3655 0521
M:
+852 5244 9875

teneo.com

Wilbert Lek Appointed as New Managing Director Rotterdam Partners

 

Wilbert Lek (49) has been appointed as new Managing Director of Rotterdam Partners per 1st November 2019. Mr. Lek joined Rotterdam Partners in September 2018 as Manager International Trade & Investment.

Wilbert Lek brings ample (international) experience in the areas of marketing and sales. He was part of the team that stood at the basis of NLinBusiness in 2017.

Prior to that date he worked several years in China and Thailand. In China he was General Manager at the Bank of Beijing.

Mr Lek started his career at ING Bank. He studied Business Administration at the Erasmus University in Rotterdam.

 

Hong Kong Situation Update by Teneo, 24 October 2019

Overview – Thursday, 24 October:

  • Relief measures announced for HK’s tourism sector
  • All nominations for November’s District Council elections confirmed except for Joshua Wong
  • Injunction against public access to voter records to remain in place through 16 December

For issues management support or advice, contact Damien.Ryan@Teneo.com,+852 6302-6922

For suggested additions to the daily distribution list, email Marie.Phillips@Teneo.com

HK Protests & Related Developments

Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Tau announced a cash incentive scheme to support HK’s tourism sector (link & link). The Federation of HK Trade Unions in Tourism welcomed the relief measures but believe they are not targeted or strong enough (link – Chinese). The Travel Industry Council of HK and HK Chamber of Commerce both welcomed the measures. (link & link)

All candidates for the HK District Council elections on 24 November have been confirmed, with the exception of Demosisto Party leader Joshua Wong, whose responsible electoral official “has been on sick leave” (link). The official was replaced today, but it is unclear if Wong will be approved to run (link).

The temporary injunction shielding HK’s voter registry from public view will remain in force until a Court of First Instance hearing scheduled for 16 December (link). The HK Journalist Association said they respect the court’s decision, but that the injunction could affect election transparency. (link)

Pro-establishment lawmaker Michael Tien said yesterday that he had been told the Chinese government is considering replacing Carrie Lam (link). Critics believe replacing Lam would not accomplish anything without political reform (link – subscription). Lam did not reply to media questions. (link)

Students submitted a letter asking HKU Vice-Chancellor Zhang to condemn police actions and support students arrested during the protests by next Monday (link & link – Chinese). Meanwhile, four HK police associations have denounced CUHK’s Vice-Chancellor for publishing “unverified” allegations of mistreatment against arrested students last week. (link – Chinese)

HK retailers with links to mainland China are reportedly downsizing operations that have been targeted by protesters. Fulum Group Holdings has put eight properties worth HK$2.57 billion on sale and Best Mart 360 and Maxim’s Group Genki Sushi is debating whether to renew leases for some outlets. (link)

Regional & Global Political Affairs

HK’s Financial Secretary will go to London on 25 October to brief government officials, Members of Parliament and business sector representatives on developments in HK. (link)

Protestors gathered outside the British Consulate in Hong Kong yesterday to support a debate on HK taking place in the House of Lords on Thursday, 24 October (link). The debate was called by Lord Alton of Liverpool. (link)

Business & Industry Developments

At a WSJ conference yesterday, Walt Disney CEO Bob Iger stated he would not take a stance on the HK protests, saying: “to take a position that could harm our company in some form would be a big mistake.” (link – subscription)

Following a string of event cancellations in HK in recent months, Art Basel announced the exhibitor list for the 2020 edition of the HK fair. Some galleries have changed since last year, but the number of exhibitors is the same as in 2019. (link)

NBA season opening matches were not broadcast in China yesterday following tensions over a team executive’s statements about the HK protests. The games were still accessible on Tencent’s internet streaming services. (link)

The HK Census and Statistics Department announced today that HK’s exports and imports recorded year-on-year decreases of 7.3% and 10.3% in September, respectively. For the first nine months of 2019 the total value of exports dropped by 4.6% year-on-year and the value of imports decreased by 6.5%. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

The Independent: Did the Hong Kong government think they could end it? Our street protest is now a global democracy campaign
Hong Kong’s legislative council may have finally…withdrawn the extradition bill, but it cannot pretend it can heal Hong Kong’s society…This delayed official withdrawal of the extradition bill is not going to resolve Hong Kong’s problems. All it ever did was unwrap the rotten essence at the core of Hong Kong politics. Fortunately, at the same time, we believe the international community has woken up to the idea that the spectre of Chinese involvement in the running of Hong Kong calls into question the trust needed to support their business or political interests in the city.

The Straits Times: Hong Kong protests an example of backlash against neoliberalism (subscription)
[Hong Kong’s] flawed economic ideology has largely escaped attention as the other factor driving dissatisfaction. “The People Strike Back” wave in the West and now Hong Kong can be termed the neoliberalism backlash. [In] Neoliberalism…the role of the state is privatised to the markets, and corporations take over as the dominant actor in citizens’ lives…Hong Kong’s neoliberal tendencies…[have] seen the world pass it by while persistent social problems remain unaddressed. Unlike Singapore, the US and Britain, however, Hong Kong lacks the electoral feedback loop for its economically frustrated citizens to steer the territory’s policies in their favour.

Nikkei Asian Review: From Hong Kong to the NBA, how China is losing the media war
Wary that the government — with its vast resources and its access to global and local media channels — was able to drive the news cycle with its own interpretation of events…protesters began to organize…to speak for themselves. As protests rage on the street, backroom volunteers have amplified and broadcast their demands, exposed police aggression, and helped to give a human face to a pro-democracy movement that has vacillated between peaceful protest and violent resistance…As they fought for public support at home, the protest groups also reached out internationally. The government tried to use the same channels to sway opinion around the world…[but] did not swing opinion in their favor; internationally, the Hong Kong government’s brand had become toxic.

Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.  

Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day ·         Hong Kong ·         Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Sunday,
27 October
3:00pm
“10.27 Fight against Police Brutality Stand with Muslim, Citizens & Journalists” Rally ·         Salisbury Garden, Tsim Sha Tsui ·         To raise Muslim and the global population’s awareness of the demands of Hong Kong people
·         Organised by Stand With Journalists, Hong Kong (SWJHK)
Thursday,  
31 October
7:00-11:00pm
Never forget 31 August, give us the truth – Sit-in ·         Prince Edward Station ·         To commemorate those injured during the 831 incident
·         To urge the government to investigate police’s use of violence
Thursday,  
31 October
7:30-10:00pm
Halloween Make-up Masquerade Party ·         Victoria Park to Lan Kwai Fong, Central ·         Dress up and wear make-up to party along Victoria Park and Lan Kwai Fong
27 October to 30 November
12:00-6:00pm
“Umbrella Movement” 5th Anniversary Exhibition ·         June 4th Museum, Mong Kok ·         Seminars, screenings, sharing and various activities will be held during the exhibition period.
·         Organized by Hong Kong Alliance in Support of Patriotic Democratic Movements of China
Saturday
2 November
3:00pm
Victoria Park Rally ·         Central lawn, Victoria Park, Causeway Bay ·         Letter of No Objection pending
·         Over nine cities around the world are said to support the campaign
Sunday
3 November
2:00pm
Rally Opposing Public Order Ordinance ·         Victoria Park, Causeway Bay ·         To protest the “Letter of No Objection” system

Potential Additional Protest Events

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike ·         Students ·         Rallies and strikes at schools
Thursday, 24 October
7:00-9:00pm
Hong Kong-Catalonia Solidarity Assembly ·         Chater Garden ·         Stand with Hong Kong and Catalonia
·         Letter of No Objection has been obtained
Thursday, 24 October
9:00pm
Citywide Lennon Day ·         Lennon walls around Hong Kong ·         To post publicity materials and memos together
Friday,
25 October
Chungking Mansions Thanksgiving Day ·         Chungking Mansions, Tsim Sha Tsui ·         To express gratitude to ethnic minorities who supported the protestors
Friday,
25 October
7:00am
Going to Work with You ·         Hong Kong Island
·         Kowloon
·         Participants asked to wear masks due to influenza peak season
Saturday,  
26 October
12:00nn
Stress Test for Pro-democratic Shops ·         Hong Kong ·         To consume at shops which support protestors
Saturday,  
26 October
1:00pm
Anti-white terror; anti-totalitarianism
rally
·         Tamar Park, Admiralty ·         Stand with the sacked employees because of political stance
Sunday,
27 October
4:00pm
10.27 Paper Crane Origami for Freedom and Memorial Service ·         Kwun Tong Promenade ·         To commemorate protestors who lost their lives
·         The organizer did not apply for Letter of No Objection
Every day in November Salute to Police Month ·         Hong Kong ·         Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
·         Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers
·         Asking the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer

Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Friday,
23 August  
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August  
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – October

Location Updated   Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current ·         Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
·         Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
·         Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated: 21 October

Still current

·         While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
·         Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
·         The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
·         Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
·         For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated:
18 October

Still current

·         High degree of caution
·         The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
·         Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
·         Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated:
18 October

Still current

·         Exercise a high degree of caution.
·         Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
·         ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated:
18 October
·         Large-scale protests have been taking place across Hong Kong since June 2019 which have become increasingly unpredictable.
·         These protests can take place with little or no notice and could turn violent. Road closures and traffic disruptions in the aforementioned areas are expected.
·         Singaporeans are advised to defer non-essential travel to Hong Kong, given current developments. If you are already in Hong Kong, you should takze all necessary precautions to ensure your personal safety. You are advised to stay vigilant, monitor developments through the local news, and heed the instructions of the local authorities.
·         You should avoid protests and large public gatherings and stay in touch with your family and friends so that they know you are safe.
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs
 
Updated:
18 October

Still current

·         Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
·         Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
·         Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
15 October

Still current

·         Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
·         Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated:
7 October
·         Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
·         While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
·         The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
·         U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated:
2 October

Still current

·         High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
·         Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
 Consulate General of India Updated:
13 August
·         Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
·         Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date   Event & Location Relevant Parties Potential Developments
Tuesday,  
Weekly  
HK Executive Council Meeting ·         Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials ·         Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
·         Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
Thursday,
24 October
6:00pm  
British Parliament meeting ·         House of Lords ·         Debate on recent political unrest in Hong Kong and calls to offer residents of Hong Kong citizenship in another country
Thursday,
24 October
Briefing for district council candidates ·         Electoral Affairs Commission Chairman Barnabas Fung
·         District council candidates
·         Drawing of lots to determine the order of candidate names on ballot papers. (link)
Thursday,  
31 October
Joint Business Community Luncheon with Chief Executive Lam ·         Chief Executive Lam  
Sunday,  
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting ·         Chinese President Xi
·         US President Trump
·         Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,  
24 November  
HK District Council Elections ·         Local political parties and groups ·         Pending announcement of the nomination period
·         Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
·         Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January  
Taiwan General Election ·         Presidential and local elections ·         HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy

 

Taylor Brown
Senior Associate

Teneo
13/F, Wyndham Place,
40-44 Wyndham Street
Central,
Hong Kong
O: 
+852 3655 0521
M: 
+852 5244 9875

teneo.com

Hong Kong Situation Update from Teneo, 18 October 2019

Overview – Friday, 18 October:

·         Sunday march denied by police while peaceful flash protests again take to city streets
·         Financial Secretary in Washington for meetings, as Senators add support for HK bill passage
·         NBA outlines impact of backlash from China, while HK businesses remain on the decline
 
For issues management support or advice, contact Damien.Ryan@Teneo.com,+852 6302-6922
 
For suggested additions to the daily distribution list, email Marie.Phillips@Teneo.com
 
HK Protests & Related Developments

The police denied a letter of no objection to a planned march on Sunday in Kowloon organised by the Civil Human Rights Front (CHRF), which CHRF said they will appeal (Chinese – link; Chinese – link). Flash mob protesters took to the streets in five districts including Central, Tsim Sha Tsui and Mong Kok at lunchtime today. (Chinese –  link; link)

The Ministry of Justice in Taiwan urged the HK Government not to release Chan Tong-kai alleged to have murdered his girlfriend in Taipei, the case which led to the Extradition Bill. The Ministry stated it has offered to provide evidence and that HK has appropriate jurisdiction (Chinese – link). Reports also cited sources stating Chan has been convinced to stand trial in Taiwan when released (Chinese – link).
 
Chief Executive Carrie Lam yesterday participated in a Facebook Live Q&A on the Policy Address (Chinese – link). She said the police are essential to HK and discussed her new housing and land policies from the Policy Address. (link; link)

Transportation Secretary Frank Chan told RTHK that normal MTR service may be restored in two weeks time (link). MTR also announced that it will no longer display adverts related to the upcoming local elections across its transport network (link).

Rocky Tuan, Vice-Chancellor of The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) stated that he will write to the CE to request she begin an independent investigation of the recent police cases involving CUHK students. He said that any proven case of improper procedures must be condemned. (link)

Regional & Global Political Affairs

Financial Secretary Chan has travelled to Washington for the IMF and World Bank meetings. Chan also met with the Commerce Department, Heritage Foundation, Cato and Brookings Institutions, and “reiterated that the “one country, two systems” principle has been fully and successfully implemented” in HK. (link)
The Chinese Foreign Ministry dismissed the nomination of HK protesters for a Nobel Peace Prize as foreign interference, and urged the nominator, Guri Melby of Norway’s Liberal Party, to exercise caution. (link)
 
More Senators have signed-on as cosponsors of the Senate’s draft version of the HK Human Rights and Democracy Act of 2019, including Democratic Presidential contender Senator Warren. (link)
 
Business & Industry Developments

The HK government announced a business survey today which found 32% of respondents believed their situation would be worse in Q4 versus Q3, with only 7% expecting it to improve. (link)

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver said that the financial consequences of the recent HK protest tweet have and may continue to be dramatic. Silver also stated that despite requests from officials in China, the Rockets manager would neither be fired or penalized. (link)

Cathay Pacific Group’s traffic has fallen 7.1% year-on-year since September 2018, the company announced on Friday. The airline expects the rest of the year to remain challenging. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

NBC: Chinese mainlanders living in Hong Kong feel stuck between a rock and a hard place
Around 1.5 million Chinese mainlanders migrated to Hong Kong after July 1, 1997. In 2014 I was inspired by my friends and protested alongside with them [in the Umbrella Movement]. As China has become more aggressive and more assertive on the international stage, the disconnect between mainlanders and Hongkongers has become wider and wider. Protesters frustrated by what they see as a lack of progress are now starting to turn that anger on mainlanders living in Hong Kong.
 
FT Magazine: Inside the battle for Hong Kong (subscription)
During Umbrella, we didn’t escalate our protests so we failed. It was stupid…We believed in the system then…but now we’ve learnt the system is stacked against us so we’ve become less peaceful.” The stakes for China’s future…could hardly be greater. If…protesters prevail in wresting concessions for a more democratic future for Hong Kong, it would indicate that Beijing is ready to tolerate diversity. If it cracks down again, as it did in 1989, it will not only jeopardise the viability of Asia’s financial hub but also create a new crisis in relations between China and the west.

The New York Times: Why the Protests in Hong Kong May Have No End in Sight (subscription)
Resolving the increasingly violent protests in Hong Kong will most likely fall to an influential group of Beijing’s local allies. The trouble: They don’t agree on much. The divisions were visible on Wednesday when Mrs. Lam gave her annual policy address, Hong Kong’s equivalent of the State of the Union speech in the United States. After months of internal meetings, she delivered a fairly narrow set of initiatives on issues like housing and did not even try to address broad political tensions.
 
Breakingviews: Hong Kong shopkeepers live on borrowed time – Undue Diligene (subscription)
Four months of protests have hit small business owners hard, and they generate 45% of local jobs. Regulators want banks to help, but tiny companies are risky borrowers, and lenders’ enthusiasm is rightly tempered by compliance concerns. The HKMA now claims only one in 20 applications for a bank account are rejected, from one in 10 back in 2016. But loans can still be hard to come by. The new credit application failure rate shot up 10 percentage points in the second quarter to 13%.
 
Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.  
 
Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day ·         Hong Kong ·         Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Saturday,
19 October
7:30-9:00pm
International Humanitarian Aid HK SOS Rally ·         Chater Park, Central ·         In support of the US Congress’s decision to pass the human rights act
Sunday,
20 October
2:00pm
Kowloon March ·         From Salisbury Garden to HSR West Kowloon Station ·         Organized by Civil Human Rights Front
·         Applying for Letter of No Objection from HKPF
·         Gather at 1:30pm and start at 2:00pm
Monday,
21 October
7:00-11:00pm
Sit-in Yuen Long Station ·         Yuen Long Station ·         Three months from the attack at Yuen Long Station on 21 July
Thursday,
31 October
7:00-11:00pm
Never forget 31 August, give us the truth ·         Prince Edward Station ·         To commemorate those injured during the 831 incident
·         To urge the government to investigate police’s use of violence
27 October to 30 November
12:00-6:00pm
“Umbrella Movement” 5th Anniversary Exhibition ·         June 4th Museum, Mong Kok ·         Seminars, screenings, sharing and various activities will be held during the exhibition period.
·         Organized by Hong Kong Alliance in Support of Patriotic Democratic Movements of China

Potential Additional Protest Events

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike ·         Students ·         Rallies and strikes at schools
Friday,
18 October
5:00pm
Students’ Anti-Police Violence Assembly ·         Sun Yat-Sen Place, University of Hong Kong ·         Protest against police in response to the suspicious death of a secondary school student
Friday,
18 October
8:00pm
18 Districts Masked Human Chain ·         MTR stations along Tsuen Wan Line, Kwun Tong Line, Island Line, and East Rail Line ·         Protestors may gather at 7:00pm and start a human chain at 8:00pm
·         In support of secondary school students whose opinions were repressed and to voice dissatisfaction over the emergency law
Saturday,
19 October
3:00pm-7:00pm
Exhibition themed “Police’s violence to human rights” ·         Near Cultural Centre, Tsim Sha Tsui ·         Aims to show tourists and foreign press the current use of violence by HKPF
Saturday,
19 October
7:00pm
Mass Prayer for International Humanitarian Aid ·         Edinburgh Place, Central ·         Police have issued letter of no objection
Sunday,
20 October
1:00pm-5:00pm
Exhibition themed “Police’s violence to human rights” ·         No. 9 Pier, Central ·         Aims to show tourists and foreign press the current use of violence by HKPF
Friday,
25 October
7:00am
Going to Work with You ·         Hong Kong Island
·         Kowloon
·         Participants asked to wear masks due to influenza peak season
Saturday,
26 October
1:00pm
Anti-white terror; anti-totalitarianism
rally
·         Tamar Park, Admiralty ·         Stand with the sacked employees because of political stance
Every day in November Salute to Police Month ·         Hong Kong ·         Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
·         Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers
·         Asking the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer

 
Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Friday,
23 August
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – October
 

Location Updated Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current ·         Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
·         Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
·         Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated: 18 October ·         Large-scale protests have been taking place across Hong Kong since June 2019 which have become increasingly unpredictable.
·         These protests can take place with little or no notice and could turn violent. Road closures and traffic disruptions in the aforementioned areas are expected.
·         Singaporeans are advised to defer non-essential travel to Hong Kong, given current developments. If you are already in Hong Kong, you should take all necessary precautions to ensure your personal safety. You are advised to stay vigilant, monitor developments through the local news, and heed the instructions of the local authorities.
·         You should avoid protests and large public gatherings and stay in touch with your family and friends so that they know you are safe.
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs
LINK UPDATED
Updated: 18 October

Still current

·         Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
·         Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
·         Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated: 16 October

Still current

·         While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
·         Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
·         The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
·         Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
·         For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated: 15 October

Still current

·         Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
·         Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated: 11 October

Still current

·         High degree of caution
·         The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
·         Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
·         Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated: 7 October ·         Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
·         While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
·         The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
·         U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated: 4 October

Still current

·         Exercise a high degree of caution.
·         Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
·         ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated: 2 October

Still current

·         High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
·         Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
Consulate General of India Updated: 13 August ·         Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
·         Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date Event & Location Relevant Parties Potential Developments
Tuesday,
Weekly
HK Executive Council Meeting ·         Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials ·         Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
·         Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
23 October Chan Tong-kai (extradition bill case) released from prison ·         HK Police, Lam Administration, Taiwan Government ·         Chan has indicated he may return to Taiwan to face trial for murder
·         Case may draw public scrutiny
·         (Chinese – link)
Thursday,
31 October
Joint Business Community Luncheon with CE Lam ·         Chief Executive Lam ·         Business Community Luncheon with Chief Executive Lam
·         HK Convention & Exhibition Centre
Sunday,
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting ·         Chinese President Xi
·         US President Trump
·         Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,
24 November
HK District Council Elections ·         Local political parties and groups ·         Pending announcement of the nomination period
·         Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
·         Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January
Taiwan General Election ·         Presidential and local elections ·         HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy

****

Taylor Brown
Senior Associate

Teneo
13/F, Wyndham Place,
40-44 Wyndham Street
Central,
Hong Kong
O:
+852 3655 0521
M:
+852 5244 9875

teneo.com

Hong Kong Situation Update from Teneo, 17 October 2019

Overview – Thursday, 17 October:
·         Chief Executive again faces disruption at LegCo during Policy Address Q&A
·         Leader of Civil Human Rights Front Jimmy Sham attacked in Mong Kok
·         HK Human Rights & Democracy Act nears US Senate review and vote
 
For issues management support or advice, contact Damien.Ryan@Teneo.com,+852 6302-6922
 
For suggested additions to the daily distribution list, email Marie.Phillips@Teneo.com
 
HK Protests & Related Developments

Carrie Lam’s Policy Address Q&A with legislators was suspended today due to further disruptions in LegCo. Twelve democrats were removed from LegCo. Despite the resumption of LegCo and policy address, protest activity in HK has remained minimal thus far. (link)

Leader of Civil Human Rights Front (CHRF) Jimmy Sham was attacked last night in Tai Kok Tsui. (link) CHRF issued a statement condemning the act. (link – Chinese) Sham has also called for forgiveness of perpetrators (link – Chinese), while Chief Secretary Cheung said the government condemns the attack. (link)

The Registration and Electoral Office has announced a temporary injunction into the public viewing of final elector and voter lists for the forthcoming District Council elections in November, filed by the Junior Police Officers’ Association (link). 400,000 additional voters have registered for the elections, and all 452  council seats expected to be contested, unlike the previous election where 68 candidates an unopposed (link).

Best Mart 360 issued a statement outlining that fifty-nine of its retail stores have been damaged in recent weeks, and is in discussions with its insurance company on repair costs. (link)

Two people have been arrested following a raid in Tai Kok Tsui in connection with a bomb that exploded outside the police headquarters on Sunday. In a press conference, police spokespeople also announced they had seized other explosives in recent weeks. (link)

HK protesters were said to have been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize by Guri Melby of Norway’s Liberal Party on Wednesday (link).

Regional & Global Political Affairs
 
Singapore Prime Minister Lee commented that Hong Kong protestors are making unrealistic demands to try to take down the government. (link) He also warned the trade war’s worldwide impact has led to “much less buoyancy” for the rest of the world. (link)

US Senators, Republican and Democratic leaders have furthered calls over the past day for the Senate to vote on the HK Human Rights bill. (link) Majority Leader McConnell and Senator Rubio were said to have received updated versions of the bill with strengthened sanctions measures for passage. (link)

Business & Industry Developments

The Government announced yesterday that the number of overseas companies and start-ups continued to grow in HK. (link) The number increased by 9.9% from 2017 to 2019, with mainland China being the largest source in terms of country of origin.

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority convened a meeting of nine major banks to discuss the roll-out of further supportive measures for SMEs in Hong Kong. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

SCMP: China’s targeting of the NBA shows why it may fail at building soft power – and the Chinese dream
The attack on Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey ’s tweet put China’s vision for a new world order in stark relief for an American audience, showing the lengths to which China will go in its campaign to squelch free speech. It’s tempting to think that China’s rise is unstoppable and that resistance to its attempts to set the rules for what can be spoken is futile. The opposite may be true. China has badly overreached in the NBA case. It’s alerted sports fans to China’s tactics.
 
Foreign Policy: Trump Is Beijing’s Best Asset
Trump’s weaknesses are more important than his bluster. During numerous off the record discussions with Chinese government officials and scholars, we are finding that an increasing number are hoping for Trump’s reelection next year. At a time when China’s political influence and military capabilities are growing, they argue that in spite of his anti-China bluster, Trump has afforded Beijing the space to expand its influence across Asia and, more importantly, comprehensively weakened Washington’s global leadership.
 
Xinhua: Opposition’s political calculation puts Hong Kong’s livelihood, future at risks
Despite threats from radicals, [Carrie Lam] insisted on delivering [her] policy address in the LegCo chamber, reflecting the resolve of the HKSAR government to brave challenges, tackle practical problems, and genuinely improve people‘s livelihood. Unfortunately, her efforts to move forward were again frustrated by the opposition lawmakers. The LegCo again slipped into the state of deadlock, while the split in society became more acute. It is crystal clear that the opposition cares nothing about the people’s livelihood or the future for Hong Kong, but only political calculation and personal interests.

SCMP: Condemning protest violence in HK won’t solve the problem
No sensible person could condone the violence perpetrated by protesters. However, condemning the violence will not help when the police force, executing the repressive policy of a recalcitrant government, is not held to account. It is not shameful to hold those armed with power, public authority and weaponry to account. This is what the Bar Association should do in defending the rule of law.

Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.
 
Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day ·         Hong Kong ·         Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Saturday,
19 October
7:30-9:00pm
International Humanitarian Aid HK SOS Rally ·         Chater Park, Central ·         In support of the US Congress’s decision to pass the human rights act
Sunday,
20 October
2:00pm
Kowloon March ·         From Salisbury Garden to HSR West Kowloon Station ·         Organized by Civil Human Rights Front
·         Applying for Letter of No Objection from HKPF
·         Gather at 1:30pm and start at 2:00pm
Monday,
21 October
7:00-11:00pm
Sit-in Yuen Long Station ·         Yuen Long Station ·         Three months from the attack at Yuen Long Station on 21 July
Thursday,
31 October
7:00-11:00pm
Never forget 31 August, give us the truth ·         Prince Edward Station ·         To commemorate those injured during the 831 incident
·         To urge the government to investigate police’s use of violence
27 October to 30 November
12:00-6:00pm
“Umbrella Movement” 5th Anniversary Exhibition ·         June 4th Museum, Mong Kok ·         Seminars, screenings, sharing and various activities will be held during the exhibition period.
·         Organized by Hong Kong Alliance in Support of Patriotic Democratic Movements of China

Potential Additional Protests

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike ·         Students ·         Rallies and strikes at schools
Every day in November Salute to Police Month ·         Hong Kong ·         Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
·         Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers
·         Asking the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer
Friday, 18 October
12:00pm
Student Anti-Police Violence Assembly ·         Design Boulevard, HK Design Institute, Tseung Kwan O ·         Protest against police in response to the suspicious death of a secondary school student
Friday,
18 October
5:00pm
Students’ Anti-Police Violence Assembly ·         Sun Yat-Sen Place, University of Hong Kong ·         Protest against police in response to the suspicious death of a secondary school student
Friday, 18 October
8:00pm
18 Districts Masked Human Chain ·         MTR stations along Tsuen Wan Line, Kwun Tong Line, Island Line, and East Rail Line ·         Protestors may gather at 7:00pm and start a human chain at 8:00pm
·         In support of secondary school students whose opinions were repressed and to voice dissatisfaction over the emergency law
Sunday, 20 October
8:00-11:00pm
Human Chain in Sha Tin ·         From Riverpark to Shatin Park ·         Participants will form a human chain from The Riverpark to Shatin Park
Friday,25 October
7:00am
Going to Work with You ·         Hong Kong Island
·         Kowloon
·         Participants asked to wear masks due to influenza peak season
Saturday,
26 October
1:00pm
Anti-white terror; anti-totalitarianism
rally
·         Tamar Park, Admiralty ·         Stand with the sacked employees because of political stance

 
Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Friday,
23 August
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – October
 

Location Updated Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current ·         Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
·         Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
·         Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated: 16 October

Still current

·         While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
·         Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
·         The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
·         Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
·         For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated: 11 October ·         Large-scale protests have been taking place across Hong Kong since June 2019 which have become increasingly unpredictable.
·         These protests can take place with little or no notice and could turn violent. Road closures and traffic disruptions in the aforementioned areas are expected.
·         Singaporeans are advised to defer non-essential travel to Hong Kong, given current developments. If you are already in Hong Kong, you should take all necessary precautions to ensure your personal safety. You are advised to stay vigilant, monitor developments through the local news, and heed the instructions of the local authorities.
·         You should avoid protests and large public gatherings and stay in touch with your family and friends so that they know you are safe.
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated: 11 October
Still current
·         High degree of caution
·         The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
·         Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
·         Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated: 4 October
Still current
·         Exercise a high degree of caution.
·         Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
·         ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated: 2 October

Still current

·         High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
·         Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated: 14 August

Still current

·         Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
·         Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
·         Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated: 15 October

Still current

·         Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
·         Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated: 7 October ·         Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
·         While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
·         The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
·         U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Consulate General of India Updated: 13 August ·         Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
·         Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date Event & Location Relevant Attendees Potential Developments
Tuesday,
Weekly
HK Executive Council Meeting ·         Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials ·         Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
·         Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
4 – 17 October Nomination period for District Council   ·         The nomination period will occur in an ordinary fashion
·         District Council elections have been speculated to be delayed
Thursday,
31 October
Joint Business Community Luncheon with CE Lam ·         Chief Executive Lam ·         Business Community Luncheon with Chief Executive Lam
·         HK Convention & Exhibition Centre
Sunday,
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting ·         Chinese President Xi
·         US President Trump
·         Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,
24 November
HK District Council Elections ·         Local political parties and groups ·         Pending announcement of the nomination period
·         Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
·         Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January
Taiwan General Election ·         Presidential and local elections ·         HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy

Taylor Brown
Senior Associate
Teneo
13/F, Wyndham Place,
40-44 Wyndham Street
Central,
Hong Kong
O:
+852 3655 0521
M:
+852 5244 9875

teneo.com