Hong Kong Situation Update by Teneo, 1 November

Overview – Friday, 1 November:

  • Communist Party reportedly agrees to improve process to appoint or remove the Chief Executive
    · High Court grants temporary injunction against online incitement of violence
    · Further rallies and protests planned for the weekend, despite police objections

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HK Protests & Related Developments

A Chinese government spokesperson today stated that the Communist Party’s 4th plenum agreed to “improve” the system by which the HK Chief Executive and other senior officials are appointed or removed. The spokesperson also said that patriotic education would be strengthened in HK. (link – Chinese & link)

The official concluding statement of the 4th plenum referenced the need to safeguard the stability of Hong Kong and Macau through a sound legal system and enforcement mechanism. (link – Chinese)

The HK High Court granted the government a temporary injunction against online dissemination of information likely to cause violence or property damage, naming the internet forum used by protestors, ‘LIHKG’, and the messaging app Telegram (link). The High Court rejected TVB’s application for an interim injunction against harassment of its employees and vandalism of its properties. (link)

The police maintained their official objection to a planned rally in Victoria Park this Saturday (link & link – Chinese). A group of District Council candidates have committed to organising another rally at the same location as part of their election campaign on the same day (link – Chinese). There will also be approved rallies at Edinburgh Square, Charter Garden and Tsim Sha Tsui on Saturday (link – Chinese).

A survey by the HK Public Opinion Research Institute asked respondents whether they supported using the HK Human Rights and Democracy Act, which remains draft legislation in the US Congress, to sanction the government official or officials responsible for disqualifying Joshua Wong. A total of 53.5% supported the proposition, with 29.8% against and 11.7% unsure. (link)

Regional & Global Political Affairs

Singapore’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has advised Singaporeans to defer non-essential travel to HK due to “increasingly unpredictable and violent protests.” (link)

The UK government published its six-monthly report on the implementation of the Sino-British Joint Declaration, covering January to June 2019. The report references the ongoing protests and calls for dialogue between all parties (link). The HK government issued a statement highlighting its commitment to the one country, two systems principle and noting that foreign governments should not interfere in the internal affairs of HK. (link)

Three US Senators have introduced the Hong Kong Be Water Act to the US legislative process. Among other provisions, the draft legislation aims to “combat Beijing’s steady erosion of Hongkongers’ basic liberties” through sanctions against HK and Chinese government officials. (link)

Business & Industry Developments

Chief Executive Carrie Lam said the government is looking at special measures to support businesses affected by the protests who are struggling to get insurance coverage. (link)

Additional Articles & Themes of Interest

Reuters: Weapons of mass control, tactics of mass resistance
While the number of protests has dropped in recent weeks, the violence has intensified. Reuters scrutinized hundreds of images of the protests, as well as dozens of police reports and video footage, and combined this research with reporting on the ground to document the weapons used by the police and protesters, and how the violence has escalated from day to day.

The Atlantic: Meet the Spiritual Leader of the Hong Kong Protests
It is [Edward] Leung’s 2016 election slogan, “Liberate Hong Kong, revolution of our times,” that rings out today, one of the several chants that are now mantras for those who have taken to the streets. The phrase (or similar translations of it) is printed on flags and banners and spray-painted on walls. Detained protesters have looked into TV cameras and mouthed the words as they are taken away by the police. A video game that pits protesters against police uses the slogan as a title. Leung’s supporters, some of whom speak about him in hagiographic terms, say he foresaw the direction that Hong Kong would take as Beijing sought to wield greater influence here.

Fox Business: Is Trump helping or hurting Hong Kong protesters? (video)
FOX Business’ David Asman, Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL), FoxNews.com columnist Liz Peek, River Twice Capital president Zachary Karabell and Capitalist Pig founder Jonathan Hoenig discuss the situation in Hong Kong.

Note: The views presented in this email are those of the authors and are included for informational purposes only. Teneo does not endorse any of the material or views shared.

Potential Significant Protests

*NOTE: The below includes an overview of potential upcoming events, many of which are subject to change as developments unfold. This is provided only as an FYI of potential impact on travel or logistics arrangements in Hong Kong

Date & Time Event & Potential Size Location &
Affected Areas
Additional Details
Daily Wear a Mask Day · Hong Kong · Encouraging HK citizens to wear a mask under the anti-mask law
Saturday,
2 November
3:00pm
“112 Emergency Call for HK Autonomy” Rally · Central lawn, Victoria Park, Causeway Bay
· Chater Garden, Central
· Edinburgh Place, Central
· Over nine cities around the world are said to support the campaign
· Gathering at the Victoria Park at 3pm and then moving to Central
· Making paper crane origami at Chater Garden at 5pm
· Rally for the Human Rights and Democracy Act at Edinburgh Place at 5pm
Saturday,
9 November
7:30-9:30pm
30th Anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall · Edinburgh Place, Central · Letter of No Objection pending approval
Thursday,
21 November
7:00pm
Never Forget 7.21 Sit-In · Yuen Long MTR Station
· YOHO Mall
· To remind the public to seek the truth of the 7.21 Yuen Long Attack

Potential Additional Protest Events

Date & Time Event & Location Location &
Potential Size
Additional Details
Every Monday Secondary School Student Strike · Students · Rallies and strikes at schools
Tuesday,
5 November
Face Mask Day · Hong Kong · In response to the anti-mask law being in force for a month
Every day in November Salute to Police Month · Hong Kong · Supported by DAB, Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions, and Junius Ho
· Calling for citizens to salute or bow to police officers
· Asking the public to take photos/videos of those who do not follow and report to the organizer

Injunctions

Date of Grant Plaintiff Effective Date Injunction Orders
Thursday,
31 October
Secretary for Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 15 November 2019 at 10:30 am Link to the injunction order
Friday,
25 October
Department of Justice The interim injunction will remain in force up to and including Friday, 8 November 2019 at 10:30am Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
Airport Authority This Order will remain in force until trial or further order Link to the injunction order
Friday,
23 August
MTR Corporation Limited This Order will remain in force indefinitely unless it is varied or discharged by a further Order of the Court Link to the injunction order

HK Travel Advisories – November

Location Updated Key Advisory Notes
Hong Kong Airport Still current · Until further notice, only bona fide passengers with a valid air ticket or boarding pass for a flight in the next 24 hours and a valid travel document will be allowed to enter the terminal buildings.
· Passengers should arrive at least three hours before departure to allow sufficient time to pass through newly added control points.
· Other members of the public, including those who may want to accompany departure passengers or receiving arrival passengers at the airport, should not travel to the airport unless absolutely necessary.
U. K Foreign Ministry Updated:
1 November

Still current

· While a number of peaceful activities have taken place, many other protests have led to clashes between police and protesters involving significant violence.
· Some Mass Transit Railway (MTR) metro stations have been closed – including in major tourist areas – due to damage caused by the protests. You should follow the MTR website for the latest updates before commencing your journey.
· The situation around protests and public gatherings can change quickly, with the potential for violence, especially during unauthorised protests.
· Protests can deviate from planned routes or rally locations and spill over into nearby public spaces, such as shopping centres, housing estates and public transport hubs.
· For important safety and security information surrounding protests, see Political situation
Australia Foreign Ministry Updated:
1 November

Still current

· Exercise a high degree of caution.
· Protests continue and are less predictable. There is an ongoing risk of violent confrontation. Protests may cause traffic disruptions and affect transport services, including to and from the international airport.
· ‘Flash mob’ demonstrations can take place with little or no warning, clashes between opposing groups and individuals have become less predictable and are expected to continue.
Japan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
31 October

Still current

· Hong Kong (All the country): Level 1: Please be careful (new)
· Protests, some guerrilla-like, take place despite police disapproval. There is also a tendency for conflicts between protesters and police authorities to escalate.
· Protests are taking place in a wide range of Hong Kong, including airports and some tourist spots.
Singapore Foreign Ministry Updated:
30 October
· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Ireland Foreign Ministry Updated:
29 October

Still current

· High degree of caution
· The violence intensified around the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China on 1 October and further demonstrations are likely to take place in the coming days and weeks.
· Such demonstrations can close off large sections of the city and affect public transport. While Causeway Bay and Admiralty and surrounding districts have been the focal point of demonstrations, protests have occurred in many other areas of Hong Kong.
· Urge people to be extra vigilant and are strongly advised to avoid areas where protests and unplanned public gatherings are taking place and to follow the advice of the local authorities.
Germany’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Updated:
15 October

Still current

· Since the beginning of June 2019, large-scale demonstrations, unannounced protests and calls for strike have repeatedly led to disruption of public life, inner-city traffic, such as the closure of metro stations (MTR), as well as partial interruptions of air traffic at Hong Kong International Airport.
· Violent clashes between demonstrators and the police also take place during the protests, in part with the use of water throwing and tear gas. The protests are occasionally increasingly without prior notice in districts for which no demonstrations or rallies are allowed.
U.S Department of State- Bureau of Consular Affairs Updated:
7 October
· Hong Kong – Level 2: Exercise Increased Caution
· While protests are generally peaceful, they sometimes become violent and disrupt transportation across Hong Kong.
· The protests and confrontations have spilled over into neighbourhoods other than those where the police have permitted marches or rallies.
· U.S. citizens, as well as U.S. Consulate General employees, have been subject to a People’s Republic of China propaganda campaign falsely accusing the United States of fomenting unrest in Hong Kong.
Canada Foreign Ministry Updated:
2 October

Still current

· High degree of caution due to ongoing large-scale demonstrations.
· Although many protest sites are made public in advance, authorised and unauthorized demonstrations can take place with little or no notice. They can quickly spread to surrounding areas, including those frequented by tourists.
Consulate General of India Updated:
13 August
· Indian passengers are advised to be in touch with airlines to find alternative travel routes to avoid inconvenience, till normalcy is restored in airport operations.
· Indian passengers who are already in Hong Kong and waiting to depart are advised to be in touch with their respective airlines for information about likely timelines for resumption of their flights.

Upcoming Key Events

Date Event & Location Relevant Parties Potential Developments
Tuesday,
Weekly
HK Executive Council Meeting · Chief Executive Lam and all senior administrative officials · Chief Executive has held occasional press conferences prior to private ExCo meetings
· Has been a primary government channel on the protests to date
Sunday,
17 November
Xi and Trump’s APEC Meeting · Chinese President Xi
· US President Trump
· Trump said on 11 October the US and China have reached phase one of a trade deal, and that a finalized agreement could take three to five weeks
Sunday,
24 November
HK District Council Elections · Local political parties and groups · Pending announcement of the nomination period
· Young individuals with no political affiliation are seen setting up Facebook pages to promote visions
· Election Affairs Commission
Saturday,
11 January
Taiwan General Election · Presidential and local elections · HK and ‘One Country, Two Systems’, may become the defining issue of the election, alongside economy